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Lanon Wee

Jamie Dimon Stresses Geopolitical Risk As Key Challenge In Face of Prior Recessions

Dimon declared Eastern Europe as the main source of danger, with the conflict in Ukraine damaging ties between great powers.He remarked,"We have experienced inflation, deficits, and downturns prior to this, yet we haven't encountered something like this since World War II." Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co. has stated that geopolitical conditions following the Russian invasion of Ukraine is the greatest risk to the global market, outweighing the prospect of high inflation or a U.S. recession. In the wake of the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates higher for longer, Dimon recommended that people should "be prepared" for soaring oil and gas prices as well as higher rates. Despite this jolt to the economy, Dimon is confident that the U.S. economy will remain strong. However, Dimon emphasised the importance of the conflict in Ukraine, as it has caused a polarization of global powers and has yet to be resolved. He went on to say, "I think the humanitarian part is far more important. I think it's also very important for the future of the free democratic world. We may be at an inflection point for the free democratic world. That's how seriously I take it." The Chinese economy has been the subject of recent negative pressure due to its weakening property market, to which Dimon responded by pointing out the actual epicentre of risk, which is the war in Ukraine, straining relations between economic superpowers. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon stated that, for him, the Ukraine war is more important than issues such as oil, gas and food migration, and the effect it is having on global relationships, particularly between America and China. He believes that a good response has been given, but resolution of the war is necessary in order for relationships to become normalized. China and India have kept a neutral standpoint on the conflict and made efforts to reach peace, sending a plan for resolution which has not yet been successful. Dimon commented that India has made their priorities clear in terms of national security, and finished by remarking that America should not overestimate China, given the success of free enterprise and freedom in the U.S. The Wall Street mogul emphasized that a reconstituted U.S. involvement with China on matters ranging from trade to national security would be beneficial, even if it meant a "small bit of destabilization." He continued, "Each country is appraising its net. How does one define national security? Is there secure energy supply? Do I need semiconductors from China? Which source supplies rare earths? The Ukraine reminded us all that this is a long-term condition." When asked if geopolitical matters are the largest risk currently plaguing the world, Dimon answered, "Definitely. We have faced inflation, budget deficits, and recessions in the past, yet nothing of the scale since World War II."

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